Pobla Mafumetvs
Cornellà
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cornellà · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pobla Mafumet 1-0 Cornellà
Original prediction
Cornellà
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 27.0% | 34.0% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 27.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.3% | 38.4% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Cornellà
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Cornellà has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20