Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pobeda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Teteks are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (40.4 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Second League, while Pobeda holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/3.00