Second League - Group 1Second League - Group 1
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Pobeda

Pobeda

Home
W
43
Full time
Shahter Taganrog

Shahter Taganrog

Away
W
Stadion Spartak
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Pobeda(36%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Pobeda
36%
Draw
29%
Shahter Taganrog
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Pobeda
94
Shahter Taganrog
99
Defence
Pobeda
66
Shahter Taganrog
66
Momentum
Pobeda
100
Shahter Taganrog
100
Danger (xG)
Pobeda
2.70
Shahter Taganrog
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Pobeda)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Shahter Taganrog)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Pobeda)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Shahter Taganrog)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PobedaPobeda
W
Shahter TaganrogShahter Taganrog
W

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Pobeda36%
Draw29%
Shahter Taganrog35%

Pobeda leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Pobeda head into this in Second League - Group 1 fixture at Stadion Spartak in mixed form (W), while Shahter Taganrog arrive in mixed form (W). Pobeda have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Shahter Taganrog over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Pobeda (66/100) and Shahter Taganrog (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Pobeda have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Shahter Taganrog have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Pobeda and Shahter Taganrog in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Pobeda to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Pobeda 3638%, Draw 2904%, Shahter Taganrog 3458%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Pobeda

Pobeda

W
@ Astrakhan
16 May 2026
31
Shahter Taganrog

Shahter Taganrog

W
@ FK Chayka 2
16 May 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Pobeda vs Shahter Taganrog?

GoalVio's model predicts Pobeda to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Pobeda vs Shahter Taganrog?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Pobeda vs Shahter Taganrog?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pobeda vs Shahter Taganrog?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more