GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 4/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Orenburg II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (66.1 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.1% in the Second League - Group 4, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Probability

69.1%

Model confidence

69.1%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Orenburg IIDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodOrenburg II
78.3Attack46.7
53.3Defence46.7
70.0Form38.3
66.1Power45.1
2.87xG1.12
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