GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 5/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Krylya Sovetov II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (66.1 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Second League - Group 4, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

11.9%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Krylya Sovetov IIDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodKrylya Sovetov II
78.3Attack40.0
53.3Defence65.0
70.0Form43.3
66.1Power51.2
1.85xG0.97
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