GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 5/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chelyabinsk II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (66.1 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Second League - Group 4, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Probability

82.6%

Model confidence

13.4%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodLWLDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chelyabinsk IIDWLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodChelyabinsk II
78.3Attack25.0
53.3Defence46.7
70.0Form23.3
66.1Power34.4
2.97xG0.61
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