Plzenvs
Union St. Gilloise
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plzen 0-3 Union St. Gilloise
Original prediction
Plzen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 38.6% | 38.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.9% | 28.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 34.5% | 32.8% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40