Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plzen 1-1 Slovácko
Original prediction
Plzen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 70.7% | 60.8% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.09 | 18.2% | 20.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 8.32 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–08%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PlzenWLWDD
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SlováckoWLLLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PlzenSlovácko
83.3Attack26.7
8.3Defence26.7
41.7Form6.7
47.4Power23.3
2.55xG1.15