Plzenvs
Sigma Olomouc
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plzen 2-3 Sigma Olomouc
Original prediction
Plzen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 57.5% | 40.5% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.3% | 23.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.82 | 19.2% | 36.5% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PlzenDWDWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sigma OlomoucDWLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PlzenSigma Olomouc
66.7Attack61.9
42.9Defence61.9
47.6Form61.9
53.7Power62.9
1.56xG1.77