Plzenvs
Real Sociedad
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Plzen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plzen hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Plzen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80