Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plzen 1-2 Pardubice
Original prediction
Plzen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.7% | 57.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 23.1% | 21.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 20.2% | 20.7% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PlzenLWLWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PardubiceWLWWW
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
PlzenPardubice
69.7Attack36.4
42.4Defence51.5
48.5Form33.3
54.4Power42.3
2.25xG1.10