Plzenvs
Mlada Boleslav
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mlada Boleslav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plzen 3-0 Mlada Boleslav
Original prediction
Mlada Boleslav
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 64.3% | 35.1% | -29.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.8% | 21.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.82 | 15.9% | 43.9% | 27.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
28.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Mlada Boleslav
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Mlada Boleslav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80