Plzenvs
Manchester United
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Plzen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Manchester United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60