Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Plzen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Malmo FF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plzen hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Plzen holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40