GGOALVIO

Plzen logoPlzenvsLudogorets logoLudogorets

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World · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plzen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plzen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ludogorets are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plzen hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Plzen holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plzen

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlzenDDLWD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LudogoretsWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PlzenLudogorets
47.9Attack66.7
64.6Defence41.7
58.3Form50.0
59.0Power51.9
1.66xG1.06
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