Plzenvs
Levski Sofia
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plzen 1-2 Levski Sofia
Original prediction
Plzen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 54.6% | 41.0% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 24.5% | 26.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.9% | 32.5% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PlzenWLWLL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Levski SofiaWDWLD
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PlzenLevski Sofia
50.0Attack16.7
25.0Defence66.7
25.0Form16.7
33.0Power36.5
1.45xG1.44