GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Plzen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plzen hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

27.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlzenDDLWL

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PlzenFK Crvena Zvezda
47.9Attack26.7
64.6Defence76.7
58.3Form56.7
59.0Power56.4
0.83xG0.52
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