Plzenvs
FK Crvena Zvezda
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plzen 5-1 FK Crvena Zvezda
Original prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.2% | 33.0% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.5% | 26.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 30.2% | 40.3% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60