GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/20/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plzen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlzenWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ferencvarosi TCLWLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PlzenFerencvarosi TC
47.9Attack61.1
64.6Defence72.2
58.3Form77.8
59.0Power72.4
1.07xG1.14
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