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Plzen logoPlzenvsFenerbahçe logoFenerbahçe

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World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plzen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plzen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plzen hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Plzen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plzen

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlzenWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FenerbahçeWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PlzenFenerbahçe
47.9Attack47.2
64.6Defence55.6
58.3Form47.2
59.0Power51.6
1.41xG0.90
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