Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Plzen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Porto are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plzen hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Plzen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20