Plymouthvs
Leyton Orient
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plymouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Plymouth are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Leyton Orient are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the League Cup, while Plymouth holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plymouth
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Plymouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40