GGOALVIO

England · League One · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Plymouth 0-2 Huddersfield

Original prediction

Plymouth

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5836.0%38.4%2.4 pts
Draw3.4726.8%25.4%-1.4 pts
Away2.5037.2%36.2%-1.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Plymouth

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Plymouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlymouthWDWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HuddersfieldDWWLD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PlymouthHuddersfield
60.0Attack59.3
60.0Defence66.7
63.3Form59.3
62.0Power62.7
1.34xG1.27
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