Plymouth Parkwayvs
Wimborne Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plymouth Parkway · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plymouth Parkway 2-1 Wimborne Town
Original prediction
Plymouth Parkway
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.7% | 51.5% | 10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.2% | 25.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.1% | 23.3% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Plymouth Parkway
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20