GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/11/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

65.5%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineWLDLL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Plymouth ParkwaySwindon Supermarine
100.0Attack57.9
83.3Defence27.0
66.7Form38.9
75.5Power42.8
2.97xG1.35
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