GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/7/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

65.5%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayWDWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Swindon SupermarineWDDLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwaySwindon Supermarine
100.0Attack57.9
83.3Defence27.0
66.7Form38.9
75.5Power42.8
2.97xG1.35
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