GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/11/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Salisbury are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SalisburyLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwaySalisbury
100.0Attack55.6
83.3Defence63.5
66.7Form62.7
75.5Power62.5
1.40xG1.38
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