GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/2/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Plymouth ParkwayMerthyr Town
100.0Attack67.5
83.3Defence53.2
66.7Form53.2
75.5Power57.2
1.83xG1.64
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