GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/14/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayLLLDW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Merthyr TownLDLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Plymouth ParkwayMerthyr Town
100.0Attack67.5
83.3Defence53.2
66.7Form53.2
75.5Power57.2
1.83xG1.64
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