GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/9/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

73.6%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Harrow BoroughWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Plymouth ParkwayHarrow Borough
100.0Attack47.6
83.3Defence23.0
66.7Form31.0
75.5Power36.0
3.19xG1.09
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