GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/21/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gloucester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 48.8-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

61.4%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayLDDWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gloucester CityWWDLD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwayGloucester City
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
75.5Power26.7
2.30xG1.05
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