Plymouth Parkwayvs
Frome Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Frome Town
Original prediction
Plymouth Parkway
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.9% | 48.8% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 24.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.9% | 27.1% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Plymouth Parkway
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40