GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/26/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayLLDWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Dorchester TownWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwayDorchester Town
100.0Attack52.4
83.3Defence38.9
66.7Form47.6
75.5Power48.3
2.44xG1.25
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