GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/16/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayWWLDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Chesham UnitedWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Plymouth ParkwayChesham United
100.0Attack65.9
83.3Defence63.5
66.7Form71.4
75.5Power67.2
1.38xG1.66
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