Plymouth Parkwayvs
Chesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/16/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Plymouth Parkway are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chesham United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesham United
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60