GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayLDWWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwayChertsey Town
100.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
75.5Power89.7
1.63xG1.54
View match centre →