GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/17/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Plymouth ParkwayChertsey Town
100.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
75.5Power89.7
1.63xG1.54
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