GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/1/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayLLWDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Plymouth ParkwayChertsey Town
100.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
75.5Power89.7
1.63xG1.54
View match centre →