GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Plymouth Parkway are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 54.0-point power-rating edge (75.5 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plymouth ParkwayLWDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownDDWDL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwayBasingstoke Town
100.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
75.5Power21.5
2.46xG1.12
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