Plaza Coloniavs
Uruguay Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Plaza Colonia 1-0 Uruguay Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Plaza Colonia 1-0 Uruguay Montevideo
Original prediction
Plaza Colonia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.6% | 51.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.9% | 28.9% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.5% | 19.6% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Plaza Colonia 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Colonia
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20