Plaza Coloniavs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Plaza Colonia 1-0 Tacuarembo, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Plaza Colonia 1-1 Tacuarembo
Original prediction
Plaza Colonia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 October 2026 at 20:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.4% | 51.7% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.9% | 28.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 5.44 | 16.7% | 19.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Projected Score
Plaza Colonia 1–0 Tacuarembo
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Colonia
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40