Plaza Coloniavs
Paysandu
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 4/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Plaza Colonia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Paysandu are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plaza Colonia
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
20.8%
Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00