GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 4/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Plaza Colonia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Paysandu are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

20.8%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plaza ColoniaDWWDD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PaysanduLLWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
Plaza ColoniaPaysandu
43.9Attack36.8
75.4Defence54.4
56.1Form35.1
59.4Power44.7
1.35xG0.47
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