GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 4/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Plaza Colonia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Oriental are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.5% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

21.5%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plaza ColoniaDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
OrientalWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Plaza ColoniaOriental
43.9Attack41.3
75.4Defence63.5
56.1Form46.0
59.4Power52.1
1.05xG0.54
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