GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 5/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Plaza Colonia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Fenix are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.4 against 58.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.2% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

21.2%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plaza ColoniaWDDWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FenixWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Plaza ColoniaFenix
43.9Attack50.0
75.4Defence66.7
56.1Form53.3
59.4Power58.1
0.94xG0.67
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