GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/17/2023, 10:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Nacional · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Plaza Colonia are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Club Nacional are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Nacional hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Nacional

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plaza ColoniaLL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Club NacionalDWDDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Plaza ColoniaClub Nacional
36.4Attack50.7
36.4Defence55.1
30.3Form50.7
36.8Power53.4
1.00xG1.85
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