GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 3/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Plaza Colonia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while CA River Plate are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plaza ColoniaWDDWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
CA River PlateDLDWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Plaza ColoniaCA River Plate
43.9Attack45.6
75.4Defence45.6
56.1Form43.9
59.4Power47.5
1.58xG0.59
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