Plaza Amadorvs
Herrera
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/6/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Amador · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 4-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plaza Amador 4-1 Herrera
Original prediction
Plaza Amador
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.5% | 84.8% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.18 | 17.5% | 10.4% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 9.03 | 10.0% | 4.7% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.4–013%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Amador
Probability
84.8%
Model confidence
84.8%
Plaza Amador has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80