Plaza Amadorvs
Deportivo Universitario
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/4/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Amador · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plaza Amador 2-1 Deportivo Universitario
Original prediction
Plaza Amador
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.2% | 64.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.0% | 20.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.68 | 15.8% | 15.1% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Amador
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
Plaza Amador has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60