Plaza Amadorvs
CD Arabe Unido
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Amador · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plaza Amador 2-0 CD Arabe Unido
Original prediction
Plaza Amador
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 47.8% | 50.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.9% | 26.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.4% | 22.9% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Amador
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Plaza Amador has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00