Platensevs
San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/25/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Platense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20