Platensevs
Newells Old Boys
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Platense 0-0 Newells Old Boys, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense 0-1 Newells Old Boys
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.7% | 36.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 32.4% | 33.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.9% | 30.3% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Platense 0–0 Newells Old Boys
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.2%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PlatenseWLLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Newells Old BoysDDDWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PlatenseNewells Old Boys
25.3Attack33.3
61.3Defence53.3
33.3Form37.3
42.7Power43.6
0.76xG0.71