Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lanus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Platense 0-0 Lanus, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense 0-1 Lanus
Original prediction
Lanus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 33.4% | 23.9% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.9% | 33.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 33.7% | 42.3% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Projected Score
Platense 0–0 Lanus
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Lanus
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Lanus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PlatenseDDWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LanusWDWWW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PlatenseLanus
26.2Attack37.9
60.7Defence70.1
32.1Form50.6
42.4Power53.9
0.49xG0.85